Friday, October 24, 2008

W-Whats yo Fan-Fan-ta-tasyyyyyy...

Yes, thats's right. We're back at it. 3 years is a long time to be out of it, but do not fear our loyal readers (I think I've counted, like, -3 loyal readers). Like Steve said, we're going to try to do some new stuff on here, as well as rant and bitch and moan. Steve's power rankings was one new feature, and this, Friday Fantasy Preview, is the next. I'm going (see: try) to outline every game and point out the fantasy significance, injuries, sit/starts, etc. I'm also going to take a look at the matchup and pick against the spread. Ya, it's a lot, but hey, for you negative 3 people out there who loyally read us, it's the least I can do.

So in the words of big fat Glen Ordway, "Let's stoke it up."

1:00pm Games

Tampa Bay (5-2) @ Dallas (4-3)
Ok, this Romo thing just keeps getting weirder and weirder every day. For now, he's listed as Out for this week. So easy sit, that being said, with Brad Johnson behind center, look for Marion Barber to carry most of the load this week and keep the Dallas offense on the field. He's probably the number 2 ranked RB this week behind Portis. you're going to have to downgrade the Dallas receivers this week slightly, but if you have TO, he's still an obvious start. Jason Witten could be a prime target for Johnson, especially since Johnson cant throw the deep ball, so he would be a solid start at TE this week. On the flip side of the ball, look for the Tampa defense to score a lot of points this week, seeing how they can focus on a single dimension of the Dallas offense. A lot of fantasy experts say that defenses can almost be switched out on a weekly basis, like kickers, but in my experience, a good defense can win you a season, and a bad one can totally ruin one.

The Tampa offense is what you would expect on a weekly basis from them, with a slight upgrade for Jeff Garcia going up against a banged up Dallas secondary. If you are looking for a solid spot start QB, Garcia may be a good pickup this week. The running backs, Ernest Graham and Warrick Dunn will probably split carries again this week. Owners of Ernest Graham have been KILLED this season with Dunn getting a decent amount of carries. Graham will still get the goalline carries, but his production will definitely be cut short by the vet, Dunn. That being said, if you are looking for a solid flex spot running back in a deep league, Dunn may be a good bet.

Washington (5-2) @ Detroit (0-6)
The Redskins? Vying for the top spot in the NFC East? Over the Cowboys? If I said this in August, people would have called me an idiot, but I would have never said that anyways, so that last sentence was pretty much completely pointless. Annnyways, the top producing fantasy RB this year has been Clinton Portis, and this week, no different. look for Portis to run ALL OVER the putrid Lions. Also, Jason Campbell could have a big day as the Lion's D is the lowest ranked defense in fantasy football right now. Santana Moss and Chris "I Blog Naked" Cooley are good starts also.

On the flip side, if you have to start ANY Lions this week, just pray. Start praying now in fact.

Buffalo (5-1) @ Miami (2-4)
The surprise hit of the year, Buffalo, is looking pretty good in this match up against the perennial cellar-dweller of the AFC East. That being said, the Miami run defense is a lot better than people are giving them credit for. I don't think Marshawn Lynch is going to blow up this week, but if you have him, you're probably starting him. Trent Edwards, however, for people looking to pick up a QB during the bye, he's another solid option. Buffalo's D could have a big game against Noodle Arm Pennington, but Ronnie Brown may cause problems for them. Brown is probably the only Miami player im starting.

St. Louis (2-4) @ New England (4-2)
The only guys in this game I would start are Stephen Jackson, who could have a HUGE day against a slow Patriot LB core, Matt Cassell, in a deep league, and "Oh, he still plays football?" Randy Moss. It's amazing what a good QB can do to a receiver. With Brady in, Moss is the overwhelming number one wideout in fantasy. With Cassell, he barely breaks the top 10. It's really incredible. I don't liek either defense here, St. Louis, well because they're St. Louis, and New England because im terrified of what Jackson may do to them.

San Diego (3-4) @* New Orleans (3-4) *Game is being played in London, England.
Big game for both of these teams. Problem is, we will probably see a low scoring game here. The weather has been pretty bad the past few days over there, and if you can remember, last year's game between the Giants and Dolphins was a slopfest. For the Saints, Reggie Bush is out for a few weeks, so your best bet here is either Pierre Thomas or Deuce McAllister. Deuce will probably get the majority of the goal line carries and would be the safer bet, in my opinion. Marques Colston is back for the 2nd week, but his performance may depend on how they are able to splint his finger up. Last week he struggled to get going and didn't have a catch. i don't liek Jeremy Shockey here either, he didnt produce last week, and this week should be no different. Both QBs, Brees and Rivers, should have decent days, and are everyday starts if you have them.

On the Charger's side, the big news this season has been LT. His problem this year has been turf toe. Now, I've never had it, but I've heard it can be one of the most painful injuries a player could ever get, and you are at the will of the injury. That being said, its also one of the easiest to cure with rest, so LT should not be the LT of old until after their bye next week. That being said, you still have to start him, jsut because he is LT and could surprise you at any moment. He hasnt been terrible, but has had some games where he struggled. Darren Sproles is probably a good flex play this week if you have him, but thats about it. The San Diego receivers have struggled this seasaon, and the one you want, if any is Vincent Jackson. Lastly, if you have either of these defenses, check the weather report before the game. if it looks liek it could get sloppy, start them. Fumbles could be a common occurance in London on Sunday.

KC (1-5) @ New York Jets (3-3)
This game could get ugly. There isn't really any players for KC you want to start, seeing how they are gdoing the QB dance and Larry Johnson is suspended this week for being a retard and spitting on a chick in a club (really? c'mon, really LJ?). That being said, you saw what FatBoy LenDale White did to the KC D last week in OUTRUNNING EVERY SINGLE PLAYE RON THE FIELD FOR AN 80 YARD TD! Dude, I want to challenge LenDale to a race. I'll probably lose, but it would be close. Actually, who am I kidding, I'm lazy and out of shape. Forget I said that. Anywho, the point I'm trying to make is if you have Thomas Jones, start him. Know what? Any RB playing the chiefs from now on, start them. This should be a new rule in fantasy, kind of like "Can't Cut". It would be called "If you sit him, you're a retard." Other starts you want, mostly on the Jets side, Favre, Cotchery, Coles, and the Jets D. The ONLY KC player to start is Tony Gonzales.

Hot-lanta (4-2) @ Philly (3-3)
How about Matt Ryan? The kid is legit. I'm fully convinced. Not only is he a good QB, he's been a solid fantasy QB this season, with really only one bad start at Tampa. The past 2 weeks he has 3 TDs and averaged almost 250 yards per game against a good Green Bay defense and an admittedly banged up Bears defense. Coming off a bye, I can see this game being a score-fest, with Ryan and McNabb gunning and scoring big time. I don't like Michael Turner this week against a very solid Philly defense, but Roddy White has caught a TD in each of the last 2 games for Atlanta, and could be a good play this week.
On the Philadelphia side of the ball, like I said, McNabb is poised to have a great game this week. Andy Reid's throw first, ask questions later, offense can move the ball well up and down the field and McNabb is the general. Brian Westbrook appears as though he will start and is always a top echelon running back. Kevin Curtis is back for the Iggles, but look for DeSean Jackson to keep getting the ball and stretching the field for the Eagles.

Arizona (4-2) @ Carolina (5-2)
This may be the best matchup of the day. Arizona's gunslinging, christian animating, "I'll show you how its done, Leinhart" QB Kurt Warner has been outstanding for the Cardinals this season. Although it looks as though his numbers took a hit when Anquan Boldin was out, he may be back this weekend and should be a prime target for Warner deep. The Carolina defense hasn't been to stout this season, only letting up fewer than 15 points to 3 teams, so look for Arizona to stretch the field and score. Often. Also, Edgerrin James and Tim Hightower have been splitting time at RB so both maybe be good flex spot/low #2 RBs if you have them.
Jake Delhomme has been solid for the cats, throwing for more than 200 yards 4 times this season and more than 190 2 other times. If you have him, start him. Arizona has given up double digit points to every opponent they have faced. Steve Smith is also a good start here. Jonathan Stewart could see some fantasy points here with their goal line carries but there isn't a Carolina RB I can start and be confident.

Oakland (2-4) @ Baltimore (3-3)
Whoever gets stuck watching this game, boy do I feel sorry for you. Not a ot to talk abou there. Justin Fargas is still going to get the majority of the carries while Run-DMC Darren McFadden watches from the sidelines. JaMarcus Russell is a definite sit this week against the tough Ravens defense. That being said, the Ravens defense could be a top producer against the struggling Raiders.

4:05 and later
Cincinnati (0-7) @ Houston (2-4)
The first late afternoon game this week and oh what a glorious one it will be. Only playing against this Cinci team, would the Texans ever be 9 point favorites against anyone. I like a lot of the Texans this week. Matt Schaubb could have a great game, Andre Johnson is poised for a gigantic game here, Steve Slaton could run all over this defense, and even old man Ahman Green, who looked as healthy as hes been all year last week, could make some noise. The only guys on the Bengals I'm even thinking of starting are Chad Ocho Cinco, and TJ Houshmanzadeh, and even then, im only confident in TJ.

Cleveland (2-4) @ Jacksonville (3-3)
Look for King Dropsies, Braylon Edwards, to have a big game here against a struggling Jaguars D. Derek Anderson may be a nice spot start for those with QBs on bye also. Other than that for the dawgs, im not starting anybody else. For Jacksonville, this is an interesting matchup. Garrard has looked decent this season, even with nobody to throw to, but the two headed beast of Fred Taylor and MJD are going to carry this offense if it is going anywhere. Look for the Jags to try to control the game with the run. The problem here is that neither of these 2 exclusively get goal line carries, so its always a toss up. I'm going to lean towards MJD, jsut because of his explosiveness and ability to make the big play, but don't count out Fred Taylor here. Both can do significant damage. Also, for those in need of a tight end, Kellen Winslow's swollen nutsack may be a good play...badum chhh. Nothing? Ok moving on.....

New York Giants (5-1) @ Pittsburgh (5-1)
In what could be the game of the week, look for a low scoring game with both defenses playing a huge role. Eli manning has esablished himself as the best fantasy Manning this season with 8 tds passing and one rushing. It's pretty close, but when all is said and done, Eli will have more total fantasy points then older prother Peyton. Brandon Jacobs looks to continue a solid season as a high number 2 back and Plaxico is back from his suspension. Eli will look to Plaxico and try to get him back on track, so be sure to start him this week. For the Steelers, Roethlisberger is a definite start, with Hines Ward, and Santonio Holmes both looking to have big games. Willie Parker should be back for the Steelers, but don't e surprised if they ease him back in and Mewelde Moore steals some of the action. On the flip side, the Pittsburgh D will get pressure on Eli all day and could have a big day if the secondary can step up.

Seattle (1-5) @ San Francisco (2-5)
Egughhgh. Ew. Disgusting. Gross. Listen, the only guy you can be confident about starting in this game is Frank Gore. The human crappy chain restaurant (J.T. O'Sullivan) is a last resort spot start if you are absolutely desparate. Which reminds me..."Hey Farva, whats the name of that place with the Mozzarella Sticks and all the goofy shit on the walls?" "You mean Shenanigans? You guys are talkin about Shenanigans, right?" When I think of JT O'Sullivan's I think of that place with the Mozzarella Sticks and the goofy shit on the walls, don't you? I can't be the only one

Needless to say, I'm not comfortable starting ANY Seahawks this week, or for the rest of the season for that matter.

Monday Night Football
Indy (3-3) @ Tennessee (6-0)
Whatever you do, if you have the Tennessee defense and havent been starting them every week, or for some reason they arent owned in your league? God dammit, you oughta get smacked. I also like both Tennessee RBs this week against a terrible Indy run defense. Peyton will do ok this week, nothing special, and if i can help it, I'm not starting any Indy WR. Dallas Clark may get some targets and Dominic Rhodes could be decent. I see this one as all Tennessee all the time, though.


So there it is. Thats my strategy going into this weeks fantasy match ups. If you want, don't be shy about posting your fantasy questions in the comments section. I'll help as best as I can. Good luck this weekend!

-N-

Labels: , ,

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home